In order to make appropriate plans for the future we must assume that some things will change. This Community Plan is based on a number of assumptions that have been made about our district over the next ten years. The key assumptions are:
Population growth
The resident population of the Opotiki District will increase by around 10% (1 % per annum) to reach 10 040 by 2016. This is based on the Statistics NZ "high" projections for the district and takes into account 'strategic projects' identified in this Community Plan.
There will be different growth rates for the resident population in different parts of the District. The following are the projected annual growth rates for each Ward within the District by 2016:
|
Waioeka-Waiotahi (high) |
440 people |
1.2% pa |
|
Opotiki (med) |
260 people |
0.6% pa |
|
Coast (high) |
270 people |
1.4% pa |
Non-resident to Resident Ratepayers
The current proportion of non-resident ratepayers (28%) will increase 0.6% per annum to reach 33% (2000 ratepayers) by the year 2016. This will see a seasonal demand placed on infrastructure that must be met and does not contribute as much to building community spirit as would a permanent resident base.
Rating Unit Growth
The number of rating units in the district will increase by 1% per annum (based on Council's Strategy) to reach 6000 rating units by the year 2016.
Visitor Growth
Growth in the Visitor Information Centre visits is expected to increase by 5% to 11 550 visitors per year.
Harbour Development
That the Opotiki harbour entrance is developed over the next 10 years resulting in increased planning, facilities and infrastructure needs.
Infrastructure
Where the infrastructure lacks the capacity to cope with population growth, capacity will be increased.